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Maybe Not the Philippines

The Philippine peso has rallied along with other regional currencies - but while we support the logic of exchange rate appreciation for much of Asia (and especially East Asia), we wouldn't include the Philippines in this list. This is the region's weakest exporter and the only sustained "twin deficit" economy as well, with pressures that are gradually rising rather than falling over time.

As a result we continue to stay on the sidelines here, not only with regard to the peso itself but also - despite decently strong domestic demand and earnings momentum – the equity market as well.

Maybe Not the Philippines (Webcast)

Maybe Not the Philippines (PDF)

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