Log in
New!
Hong Kong Gets a Little Spring in its Step
The property rebound adds some spring in Hong Kong's steps. Both housing prices and rents have stopped falling and rebounded over the past few quarters; credit demand has also picked up at the margin, and both of these trends highlight the end of Hong Kong's long six-year deleveraging "bust".
The rest of the economy is still weak, however. Retail consumption is flat, the tourist economy remains depressed, the resident population has stopped growing and construction is set to decline for a good while to come. And the supposed benefits of renminbi internationalization are nowhere to be seen.
We have no worries about the peg. The HKMA is maintaining strict monetary discipline, and despite the worsening in budgetary conditions this has not led to fiscal monetization pressures.
What to do with equities? Listed earnings are rising again on trend and the equity market has recovered, but with ongoing macro malaise at home it's difficult to generate a sense of excitement.
Hong Kong Gets a Little Spring in its Step (Webcast)
How To Think About Emerging Markets (2026 Edition)
An opinionated guide to emerging markets
What is an Emerging Market? (How to Think About Emerging Markets, 2026 Edition, Part 1)What's Wrong With EM? (How to Think About Emerging Markets, 2026 Edition, Part 2)
Who Makes It, Who Doesn't (How to Think About Emerging Markets, 2026 Edition, Part 3)
Is Globalization Over? (How to Think About Emerging Markets, 2026 Edition, Part 4)
Four EM Growth Fallacies (How to Think About Emerging Markets, 2026 Edition, Part 5)
An Austrian Primer: Savings, Debt and Default (How to Think About Emerging Markets, 2026 Edition, Part 6)
Life After China (How to Think About Emerging Markets, 2026 Edition, Part 7)
Macro and EM Equities (How to Think About Emerging Markets, 2026 Edition, Part 8)
Macro and EM Debt (How to Think About Emerging Markets, 2026 Edition, Part 9)
Macro and EM Currencies (How to Think About Emerging Markets, 2026 Edition, Part 10)
How To Think About China (2025 Edition)
... and an opinionated guide to China
Lies, Damn Lies and Statistics (How to Think About China 2025 Edition, Part 1)A State Economy or a Market Economy? (How to Think About China 2025 Edition, Part 2)
The End of the Miracle (How to Think About China 2025 Edition, Part 3)
Property Boom and Property Bust (How to Think About China 2025 Edition, Part 4)
Debt, Banks and the Budget (How to Think About China 2025 Edition, Part 5)
The Future of the Renminbi and the Closing of China (How to Think About China 2025 Edition, Part 6)
The Aging Crisis (How to Think About China 2025 Edition, Part 7)
How to Follow Macro Policy (How to Think About China 2025 Edition, Part 8)
Why Haven't I Made Money? (How to Think About China 2025 Edition, Part 9)
